Is Trump headed for another loss for ignoring White male voters?
Certain signs do not bode well for Trump's campaign; he might be heading for a repeat of his 2020 election loss due to a refusal to target White male voters
Good day, my friends.
I am off the road today, having realized that I had some serious road fatigue when I got back from doing deliveries last night. Such fatigue can be dangerous, so it was time to take a rest today.
After getting home last night, I ran into an excellent article by
where he speculated on Trump heading for another defeat. I highly recommend that you read all of Keith’s article because it is a much-needed break from the Trump cheerleading that is all over the place right now. Make yourself a cup of your favorite beverage and read through all of it, then come back here to read my commentary on one of the points that Keith raised.For my purposes here, I want to zero in on what I regard as the most important failure of Trump’s 2020 campaign that he seems to be repeating: the refusal to recognize White working class voters as his base, particularly White males.
Here’s some of what Keith said in his article and it is right on point:
A more relevant question than how much voters are going to like Kamala Harris is what Trump is going to do to win back the populist White voters he lost. Currently, the Harris campaign is doing more explicit outreach to White voters than Trump, who recently framed his opposition to mass-immigration as motivated by a desire to protect the jobs of Blacks and Hispanics.
By now, I think I’ve made it clear that the prospects for a Trump victory are very bleak, but that’s not to say he can’t win. There is still a long way to go until the election.
Given everything I have explained here about the demographics of the election, there is one clear path that stands out for Trump. It’s not complicated; in fact, it’s the same strategy that he used to win in 2016.
The election will be decided by who can get more of their demographic out to vote. Harris has recruited thousands of volunteers, raised hundreds of millions; she will win the Black vote. The Trump campaign can face up to this, drop the fantasy of a ‘Blexit’, find the populist White voters who are currently checked out, and focus on getting them to vote for Trump. Only 55% of non-college-graduate whites bothered to vote in 2020. If just 60% did, Trump would have won.
The path to a Trump victory is staring Republicans in the face, but they would rather focus their energy on the fantasy of a multiracial coalition turning on the Democrats. Imagine if Republicans focused on beating Democrats at their own game, registered tens of thousands of non-college-educated Whites to vote in swing states, and even bussed them directly to the polls? This is an easy way to access tens of thousands of votes, and the only obstacle is the deep aversion to being seen to be courting White people.
We know what White populists want: immigration restriction, protectionism, affordable healthcare, a more fair redistribution of wealth; they still lean conservative in their social values but support more socialist economic policies. In short, they want nationalism. They dislike both parties. They liked when Trump seemed like an outsider challenging the GOP in 2016.
That is Trump’s path to victory in 2024 — not unity, but vengeance. And vengeance on behalf of America’s most reviled demographic: poor Whites. The last eight years make me believe it is unlikely the Trump campaign will embrace this. That’s why I believe this election is still the Democrats’ to lose.
As I write this article after reading Keith’s post, I am furious with Trump. I’ve told you in recent articles that I recommend voting for him, but now I am not so sure. I had not been paying attention to who was running his campaign until I read Keith’s article, and then I realized that Trump is going down the exact same road as he did in 2020.
Back in 2020, I blamed Jared Kushner for Trump’s stupid decision to ignore White poor and working class voters. But it appears now that Kushner might not have been the real problem in Trump’s campaign. You see, my friends, the real problem is Donald Trump himself.
Once again, he has hired a retard who believes that a multi-racial coalition will defeat the Democratic candidate. This time around, it is a woman named Susie Wiles who is pushing this crap. The Atlantic had a recent article that discussed a great deal of Trump’s approach this time around, and here is part of that that demonstrates once again that Trump is banking on Black and Hispanic votes instead of mobilizing White working class voters:
Did you take note in the screenshot above, which demographic isn’t mentioned at all? White males! Again! The retards in the Trump campaign are ignoring their base and taking White male voters for granted! This despite the fact that Trump lost significant numbers of White male voters in 2020 and is likely to lose them again:
Meanwhile, white men were 34% of the electorate in 2016 and 36% in 2020. But Trump declined with this demographic, slipping from 62% in 2016 to 59% in 2020.
The decline among whites was more pronounced among the working class than college graduates. Among white college graduates, Trump dropped to 46% from his 2016 total of 48%. But he suffered a steeper decline among white men without a college degree, winning 71% of that demographic in 2016 and just 64% in 2020.
Had Trump maintained his 2016 percentage of white men without a college degree, he would have increased his national vote totals by 1.33%.
Given the overrepresentation of white males without college degrees in these states and the voting patterns tracked in exit polls at the state level, it appears that if Trump had merely held his 2016 national percentages among this demographic that he would have narrowly won Arizona, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (Georgia is less clear) and today be plotting the contours of a second term rather than a legal strategy.
NEWSFLASH TO THE RETARDS RUNNING TRUMP’S CAMPAIGN: JAMAL AND ENRIQUE ARE LIKELY TO TURN OUT TO VOTE FOR KAMALA HARRIS!
I cannot believe how stupid these people are, and how they are poised to repeat the exact same mistake Trump made in 2020. It boggles the mind that Trump is going down the same road this time; it clearly shows that he learned nothing whatsoever from 2020.
I pointed out in my first open letter to Trump that he had betrayed his White working class base in favor of Black and Latino voters:
But what about the people who voted for you? Do you even remember them? The White, working-class people who turned out in numbers in 2016 that shocked the political establishment. These people had given up on politics until you showed up, and then they rolled the dice on you and took a big chance to see if somebody might finally represent them, for once in their lives.
And you failed them, Donald, you utterly failed them. As soon as you were in office you turned your back on them and never looked back. Your ego loved Air Force One and all the trappings of power, and you let it go to your head while your enemies plotted your destruction. The people who put you in power were neglected, ignored, and utterly forgotten by you and your administration.
So what happened when you ran again in 2020? You put Kushner, a political neophyte, in charge of your campaign, and what did he do? He thought that the White, working-class males who voted for you in 2016 would show up anyway, while you ran around trying to get minority votes, thinking that you could abandon your political base and forge a new coalition without them.
Where was the “platinum plan” for the White, working class, Donald? Where was anything for the White, working class? You offered them nothing and a significant chunk of your 2016 voter base either stayed home, voted for Biden the pedophile, or voted third party. I have to stand in awe of your “genius” in putting the idiot Kushner in charge of your campaign!
The root of the problem here is that Trump is still the same self-centered narcissist that uses people to get what he wants and who demands total loyalty from everyone, but doesn’t return such loyalty to anyone but his family. He had no problem turning his back on White working class voters in 2020, and it seems he will do it again!
What the Trump campaign should be doing is making sure that working class White male voters turn out to vote for him in November. They should have an outreach program in place for White male voters, and they should zealously be appealing to the White male demographic in their policy proposals and campaign ads.
But are they doing anything for White male voters? Nope, they are taking that demographic for granted again, and I say this to all of you: Do NOT be surprised if White males stay home in greater numbers this time than they did in 2020. Who can blame them when the guy they put into the White House in 2016 proclaims that he opposes illegal immigration because it costs Black and Hispanic jobs, but doesn’t mention White males. EVER.
I will say this also: If Trump loses again and screams that he was cheated, I will not defend him or his whiny bullshit. In fact, I will tear him to shreds because it will be his own stupidity that dooms him yet again. I don’t want to hear a single word from anybody - least of all Trump - about “election fraud” when it is obvious that Fat Orange Retard has decided to ignore White males altogether again.
Before Trump was nearly assassinated, I had decided not to vote, and I am now heading back in that direction. The Deep State’s attempt to do a badly produced re-run of the Kennedy assassination had me seething, but after reading Keither’s article and the Atlantic article, I am now seething about Trump doing the same stupid crap he did in 2020.
It’s almost hard to believe that Trump could be this stupid. White males are the number one component of his base; but he seems to regard them as an embarrassment or at best an after-thought. Do you see how the Democratic strategy of screaming “raaaaaacist!” has taken its toll on Trump and other Republicans? None of them want to be seen appealing to or caring about the White male vote whatsoever, out of fear of being labelled a racist. So millions of White male voters will likely be left on the table by Trump in November.
Well, you can’t fix stupid, can you? Don’t be shocked or upset on election night if Trump manages to lose the election. His best hope, given his current strategy, is that Kamala Harris bungles everything so badly (a distinct possibility given her previous track record) that she becomes toxic to the electorate. But that hope relies on the Democrats letting Kamala be Kamala, and it is likely they will keep her tightly scripted and controlled to prevent voters from seeing the real Kamala.
I will close this article by saying that I almost used this as the title of this article: Fuck Donald Trump! (Again) because I was so angry when I learned he had decided to ignore his natural voter base of White males. Instead, I toned it down and used a different title instead. But if Fat Orange Retard goes down in flames on election night, the gloves are going to come off, and I will cut him to pieces for his stupidity. 🤬
If he hadn’t turned his head at the last second, Donald Trump would have become a political martyr, and perhaps that might truly have been the best thing he could ever have done for White males.
UPDATE: Kamala Harris has a “White Dudes for Harris” group, which is more than Trump is doing for White male voters on his side:
The Big Lebowski star Jeff Bridges, Lord of the Rings star Sean Astin, and Mark Hamill of Star Wars fame were among the many famous faces — along with left-wing lawmakers like Adam Schiff (D-CA) — who joined a virtual “White Dudes of Harris” event Monday night. It was the latest of such events hosted in an all-out effort to raise funds for Vice President Kamala Harris in her bid for the White House.
“I got to laugh because I accepted the invitation,” Bridges said on the call. “I was brought to the party, not so much as being white, and I certainly am, but because I’m a dude. So, a friend sent me this e-mail today with your hat on there, and I said, ‘Oh, I got to have one of those, I qualify.’ I’m white, I’m a dude, and I’m for Harris.”
“I had no idea that this whole thing that we’re up to was based on, what, Black Women for Harris, right,” Bridges continued. “And, so it kind of morphed into White Men, White Men for Harris.”
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I did notice that Trump kept saying, "Black Jobs" over and over during the "debate" with Biden. I thought it was very odd.
He kept saying, "Illegals are stealing black jobs..."
Who says, "black jobs?" Who thought that was a good idea, or convincing?
I had planned to vote for Trump after Butler, before that there were no plans to vote as I don't believe our vote counts at the federal level anymore. Besides that they stole 2020 so what's to stop them from doing it again?
Trump absolutely turned his back on the people who put him in power in 2016 and if I do vote for him this time it'll be as another middle finger to the left and a desire to turn out in such numbers that it's impossible to steal this election.
I would say that President Commie LaWhorish is a pipe dream but after 2 Obama terms have learned to never discredit the possibility as outlandish. I think ultimately it doesn't matter who wins, the nation is headed for a divorce and eventually it'll be a reality. I dare say some will go the accelerationist route and vote for Harris and others like her in order to bring it about sooner rather than later.